About 30 minutes ago, a former colleague of mine from my time at the FBI's Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) put me in touch with a foreign intelligence official who was working on the situation in the Middle East.
THIS foreign intelligence official informed me that “senior Iranian decision-makers have approved “limited engagement” by Hezbollah against Israel.”
I didn't report it because I felt too "unsafe" to stick my neck out without confirmation.
About five minutes ago, a SECOND person I know in the intelligence community confirmed the information, and he got it from someone who CAN'T was the foreign intelligence agent I got it from.
The problem is simple: just today, Israel publicly announced that it will attack Iran if Hezbollah in Lebanon enters the conflict between Israel and Hamas.
If Israel actually meant what it said publicly and wasn't just posturing, then Iran's "go" to Hezbollah would necessarily mean that Israel WANTS to attack Iran.
If THAT happens, the Middle East and possibly the world will explode into war.
Depending on what Hezbollah decides to do, Israel may or may not recognize that “Hezbollah has entered the war.”
Maybe Hezbollah will simply increase their attacks in the north... not really noticeable.
If Hezbollah holds back, Israel may not recognize Hezbollah's entry into the war, so that they will not feel compelled to attack Iran by their own rhetoric.
However, I suspect that Israel, with its very significant intelligence capabilities, said this today because it knew that Iran was about to give Hezbollah the green light.
Now I am told that this “limited start signal” has been given.
On the other hand, if Hezbollah takes some big, bold and unambiguous steps, then Israel could be forced to acknowledge that Hezbollah has invaded and then (theoretically) be forced by its own public rhetoric to attack Iran.
If Iran is attacked, it has already publicly stated, it will "block the Strait of Hormuz," which would immediately cut off about a fifth of the world's total oil consumption.
About twenty percent of the world's oil supply passes through the strait every day.
Data from analytics firm Vortexa shows an average of 2023 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil, condensate and oil products will be transported through Hormuz from January to September 20,5.
A shock decline in this volume of oil and oil products would trigger a cascading collapse of the global economy that would likely be unstoppable.
I repeat: TWO sources told me this evening that Iran has given Hezbollah approval for a “limited operation” against Israel. When it can start is just a guess. I suspect it will be almost immediately.
We could all wake up on Monday morning in a completely different world.
Well, top secret and it's on my website... understood. Please DO NOT read :-). It comes from AntiIlluminatem TV from Kim Goguen's channel.
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